@techreport{jsjxm2,
  author = {Gilly, Travis},
  title = {{The Threshold Trap: Recursive Self-Improvement, the Economics of Self-Production, and the Case for Predictive Harm Assessment}},
  institution = {Real Safety AI Foundation},
  type = {Working Paper},
  year = {2026},
  month = jun,
  note = {Version 3},
  url = {https://realsafetyai.org/research/jsjxm2/},
  keywords = {recursive self-improvement, AI governance, harm assessment, incentive structures, automation, frontier safety, predictive risk, Harm Blindness Framework}
}