Real Safety AI Foundation / Research

Ethics, Design Responsibility, and Moral Agency

Extending the Tracks: Temporal Agency and the Structural Flaw in the Trolley Problem

Publisher: Real Safety AI Foundation

Research paper.

Written
March 2026
Pages
17

Abstract

For nearly sixty years, the trolley problem has dominated moral philosophy as the canonical thought experiment for ethical decision-making. Since Philippa Foot’s original formulation in 1967, thousands of papers have debated which track to choose. This paper argues they have all been answering the wrong question. The trolley problem’s most consequential feature is not the binary choice between tracks but the artificial elimination of temporal agency; the removal of time as a resource available to the moral actor. Real moral emergencies almost never present as instantaneous binary forks. They unfold across time, with lead indicators, intervention windows, and opportunities for harm mitigation that the trolley problem systematically excludes by design. This paper proposes a structural resolution in the form of the Temporal Extension Principle (TEP), a two-part moral action consisting of (1) immediate harm prevention for the proximate threat and (2) active intervention against the deferred threat using the time created by the first action. This reframing transforms the trolley problem from a dilemma (choose who suffers) into a project (prevent suffering across time). The paper demonstrates the principle’s real-world applicability through the Harm Blindness Framework’s four-checkpoint

Plain language slides

First slide of the plain language summary of Extending the Tracks: Temporal Agency and the Structural Flaw in the Trolley ProblemOpen the 13-slide summary (PDF)

Suggested citation

Gilly, Travis. "Extending the Tracks: Temporal Agency and the Structural Flaw in the Trolley Problem." Real Safety AI Foundation Research Paper, March 2026. https://realsafetyai.org/research/wd3wdm/

Other versions

This paper is also posted on SSRN.

SSRN version

References (13)

This list was read from the PDF text. Where the two differ, the PDF is correct.

  1. Bauman, C. W., McGraw, A. P., Bartels, D. M., & Warren, C. (2014). Revisiting external validity: Concerns about trolley problems and other sacrificial dilemmas in moral psychology. Social and Personality Psychology Compass, 8(9), 536–554.
  2. Craig, S. C., McCarthy, A. F., & Gainous, J. (2021). Question wording and attitudinal ambivalence: COVID, the economy, and Americans’ response to a real-life trolley problem. Social Science Quarterly, 103(1), 18–30.
  3. Crutchfield, P. (2025). Moral dilemmas and slow codes. Bioethics, 39(4), 359–367.
  4. Di Nucci, E. (2013). Self-sacrifice and the trolley problem. Philosophical Psychology, 26(5), 662–672.
  5. Eyal, N., & Williams, B. (2023). When offering a patient beneficial treatment undermines public health. Bioethics, 37(9), 846–853.
  6. Foot, P. (1967). The problem of abortion and the doctrine of the double effect. Oxford Review, 5.
  7. Gilly, T. (2025). Precedents in practice: Emergent moral dilemmas in AI engineering. Manuscript in preparation.
  8. Gilly, T. (2026). The Harm Blindness Framework: Systematic stakeholder analysis for harm prevention. Real Safety AI Foundation. Working paper.
  9. Huebner, B., & Hauser, M. D. (2011). Moral judgments about altruistic self-sacrifice: When philosophical and folk intuitions clash. Philosophical Psychology, 24(1), 73–94.
  10. Ng, N. L., Luke, D. M., & Gawronski, B. (2023). Moral judgment under uncertainty: A CNI model analysis. European Journal of Social Psychology, 53(6), 1055–1077.
  11. Thomson, J. J. (1976). Killing, letting die, and the trolley problem. The Monist, 59(2), 204–217.
  12. Thomson, J. J. (1985). The trolley problem. Yale Law Journal, 94, 1395.
  13. Thomson, J. J. (2008). Turning the trolley. Philosophy and Public Affairs, 36(4), 359–374.

All research